OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Probability

72¢

-0.5pp

24h

+22.5pp

24h Vol

$39.3K

Liquidity

$8.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 20, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:37

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

16:00Resolve
Market resolves in 14.4h
HIGH
01:37Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
01:37Price
Probability up 33.0pp
to 74¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 33.5pp
to 74¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 34.5pp
to 73¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 31.5pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 30.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 30.0pp
to 72¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 27.0pp
to 69¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 16.0pp
to 57¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 17.0pp
to 59¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 17.5pp
to 60¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 19.5pp
to 61¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 17.0pp
to 59¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 20.5pp
to 59¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 24.5pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
07:00Price
Probability up 21.0pp
to 56¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 21.0pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 22.0pp
to 52¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 21.0pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 17.0pp
to 47¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 20.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 19.0pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 12.0pp
to 42¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 41¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 41¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventElon Musk # tweets April 23 - April 25, 2026?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Apr 25, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmuskSocial media post
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket