0x583a0f1673d9012c5be2c9ff827151d917196925
0x583a0f1673d9012c5be2c9ff827151d917196925
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$22.10
Total PnL
$-70.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
6 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$5.55
$3.94
- YES
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
28 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.85
$0.97
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
3 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$3.44
$2.48
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
3 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$3.11
$0.08
- YES
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.52
$0.10
- YES
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-25?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$2.37
$0.88
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
183 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.16Apr 28, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$1.00Apr 28, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?$1.15Apr 28, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$1.13Apr 28, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$1.29Apr 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$1.00Apr 27, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?$1.12Apr 27, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Donald" or "Trump" this week?$1.63Apr 27, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?$1.00Apr 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$1.00Apr 26, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-26?$1.00Apr 26, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?$1.52Apr 26, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.70Apr 26, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.11Apr 26, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$1.41Apr 26, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.59Apr 25, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.