OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Probability

25¢

+3.5pp

24h

-5.0pp

24h Vol

$67.5K

Liquidity

$7.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 20, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:14

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

16:00Resolve
Market resolves in 14.8h
HIGH
01:14Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
01:14Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -16.0pp
to 22¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -18.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -24.5pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -22.5pp
to 15¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -21.0pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -20.5pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -26.0pp
to 12¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -25.5pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -24.0pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -25.0pp
to 13¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -22.0pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -22.0pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -12.0pp
to 25¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -11.0pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -9.5pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -10.0pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -10.0pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventElon Musk # tweets April 23 - April 25, 2026?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Apr 25, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmuskSocial media post
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket