SportsExpires May 17, 2026
Creator

Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Probability

69¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$10.91

Liquidity

$4.3K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

NEAR EXPIRY

Reason

Resolves in 17h.

The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 17, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Link
premierleague.com
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 17, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
70¢
May 12, 2026, 21:00 UTCMay 16, 2026, 20:00 UTC
updated 20:44:22 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-16T20-44Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Expires in 17h.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 17 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:00Scheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 17.3h

    HIGH
  • 20:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 17h.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 69¢.

updated 20:44:22 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 20:44:22 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

10
Same eventLeeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Total Corners
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game between Leeds United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 9 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Manual override (pattern match)

Matched term

premier league

Reason

EPL — Sports.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners"?

As of Sat, 16 May 2026 20:44:22 GMT, YES is priced at 69% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.5pp in the last 24 hours, -1.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 17, 2026 (2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.premierleague.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$10.91 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $10.91. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $4.3K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

2 wallets
Open on Polymarket