SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer

Probability

18¢

1h

+15.1pp

24h

-11.8pp

24h Vol

$1.5K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (10.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 07:00May 3, 2026, 12:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 12pp over 24h

    Now 18¢; +15.1pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 10.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.7h

    HIGH
  • 12:49Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-11.8pp over the last 24h, now 18¢.

Biggest hourly move: -31.0pp at 1d ago (to 31¢).

Show top 8 of 28 hourly moves
  • 09:00 · -20.4pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -30.5pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -30.5pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -31.0pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -31.0pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -31.0pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -19.0pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -19.0pp → 31¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Liverpool FC, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexander Isak is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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