SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Liverpool FC?

Probability

1h

-49.6pp

24h

-1.9pp

24h Vol

$233.43

Liquidity

$3.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.1pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 18:00May 3, 2026, 17:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -49.6pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 17:23Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 14:30Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-1.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: +48.3pp at 15:00 (to 51¢).

Show top 8 of 16 hourly moves
  • 15:00 · +48.3pp → 51¢
  • 02:00 · -37.2pp → 2¢
  • 21:00 · -37.7pp → 2¢
  • 19:00 · -37.7pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -37.2pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -37.2pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -36.5pp → 2¢
  • 3d ago · -46.8pp → 2¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Liverpool FC, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC match originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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