Exact Score: Manchester United FC 4 - 3 Liverpool FC?
Probability
0¢
1h
-49.6pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$132.41
Liquidity
$4.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -49.6pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $4.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:22SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -46.5pp at 3d ago (to 4¢).
Show top 8 of 15 hourly moves
- 15:00 · +46.4pp → 50¢
- 02:00 · -41.0pp → 2¢
- 21:00 · -41.8pp → 2¢
- 19:00 · -42.3pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -42.4pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -42.4pp → 1¢
- 3d ago · -46.5pp → 4¢
- 4d ago · +40.4pp → 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Liverpool FC, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC match originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.