Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$10.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $10.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1571.1h
- 12:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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