Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-24?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+61.5pp
24h Vol
$22.3K
Liquidity
$175.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+66.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:29SignalHIGH
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 61.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 21:29SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 60.5pp
to 100¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 54.0pp
to 94¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.5pp
to 87¢
- 18:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 36¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 40¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 40¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If SD Eibar wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotionNews consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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