Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+34.9pp
24h Vol
$107.8K
Liquidity
$88.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+50.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 35pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:12SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.9pp
to 100¢
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.4pp
to 98¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 96¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 85¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 91¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 90¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 70¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 68¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 74¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 58¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 60¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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