CryptoExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+34.9pp

24h Vol

$107.8K

Liquidity

$88.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+50.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:12
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 35pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 17:12Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    HIGH
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 31.9pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 29.4pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 22.0pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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