Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-50.0pp
24h Vol
$981.60
Liquidity
$374.0K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 50pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 04Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 05UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:09SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 50.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 16:09SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Alerts
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