Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$23.79
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
-47.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $24 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 145.0h
Price movement
+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -49.5pp at 05:00 (to 1¢).
Show top 8 of 60 hourly moves
- 07:00 · -48.4pp → 1¢
- 05:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
- 04:00 · -46.9pp → 1¢
- 02:00 · -49.4pp → 1¢
- 00:00 · -49.4pp → 1¢
- 23:00 · -49.4pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -45.0pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -45.0pp → 5¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 1¢-0.4
Will Alpine get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1
Will Audi Revolut get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 26¢+12.0
Will Ferrari get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1
Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 41¢+27.0
Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $20.44
- 40¢-11.0
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 15¢+4.5
Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-4.5
Will Racing Bulls get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+32.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
Sports · Vol $2.7M
- 33¢+5.0
76ers vs. Celtics
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 100¢+54.4
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians
Sports · Vol $1.9M
- 100¢0.0
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢+49.5
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Sports · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-57.5
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk
Sports · Vol $914.8K
Market Description
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.