SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 8, 2026
Creator

Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$23.80

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 8, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
formula1.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-47.4pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 20:00May 2, 2026, 19:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $24 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 145.0h

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -49.5pp at 23:00 (to 1¢).

Show top 8 of 50 hourly moves
  • 05:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 04:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 02:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 01:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 00:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 23:00 · -49.5pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -49.3pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -48.9pp → 1¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventMiami Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position
Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

7 wallets
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