Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Probability
57¢
1h
+14.5pp
24h
-20.5pp
24h Vol
$30.3K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14791.5h
- 21:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14791h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 56¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 41¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 38¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 71¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 83¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 82¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 77¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 75¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 82¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 82¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 78¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 78¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 76¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fluent token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Fluent will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fluent (https://x.com/fluentxyz/photo) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).