Fluent FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.7pp
24h Vol
$11.8K
Liquidity
$16.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14776h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $16.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14776.1h
- 12:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14776h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 0¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 0¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 0¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 0¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fluent token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Fluent will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fluent (https://x.com/fluentxyz/photo) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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