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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2028

Fluent FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.7pp

24h Vol

$11.8K

Liquidity

$16.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 14776h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 14776.1h

    LOW
  • 12:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 14776h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -5.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -7.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fluent token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Fluent will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fluent (https://x.com/fluentxyz/photo) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2028
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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