Fuse FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Probability
22¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14772h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 34.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14771.5h
- 17:28SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14772h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 22¢.
Biggest hourly move: +11.5pp at 1d ago (to 22¢).
Show all 52 hour-by-hour ticks
- 15:00 · +4.0pp → 22¢
- 13:00 · +6.0pp → 22¢
- 12:00 · +11.5pp → 22¢
- 10:00 · +8.0pp → 22¢
- 09:00 · +3.5pp → 22¢
- 07:00 · +8.5pp → 22¢
- 05:00 · +7.0pp → 23¢
- 03:00 · +11.0pp → 22¢
- 02:00 · +8.0pp → 22¢
- 00:00 · +9.5pp → 22¢
- 20:00 · +5.5pp → 22¢
- 18:00 · +11.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +4.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +11.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 22¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +10.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 18¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · +5.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · +7.5pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 17¢
- 4d ago · -6.0pp → 14¢
- 4d ago · +4.5pp → 16¢
- 4d ago · -4.5pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · +6.5pp → 22¢
- 4d ago · -3.0pp → 16¢
- 4d ago · +5.0pp → 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fuse's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Fuse will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fuse (https://x.com/fuseenergy) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowx.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (34.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.