Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-10.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$15.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1591.8h
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 14¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 19¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 5¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.2pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 5¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 9¢+0.4pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 5¢-0.4pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $40.82
- 4¢-0.1pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 7¢+0.8pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 13¢+0.1pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 19¢+0.5pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 20¢+1.0pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢-1.0pp
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $27.78
- 2¢-1.1pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.3M
- 100¢+38.0pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $874.7K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $711.7K
- 60¢0.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $684.5K
- 100¢+35.9pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $599.1K
- 88¢+3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $446.1K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).