UnclassifiedExpires Jan 1, 2028

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Probability

20¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$34.76

Liquidity

$21.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+12.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 09:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $21.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 14732.0h

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.

Biggest hourly move: +12.5pp at 4d ago (to 21¢).

Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · +12.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 21¢
  • 4d ago · +12.5pp → 21¢
  • 4d ago · +12.5pp → 21¢
  • 4d ago · +12.5pp → 21¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventGRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2028
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
using the total token supply multiplied by the token price
Link
x.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket