Upright-Snug
0xe639e41094bbeae18f3e6d1790c17299183f082a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$679.1K
Total PnL
$-201.4K
Realised
$-170.0K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
377910 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$377.0K
$1.5K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
233643 shares @ 88.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$181.2K
$-26.6K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
233643 shares @ 25.5¢·now 22.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$52.0K
$-7.5K
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
26022 shares @ 87.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$23.2K
$396.34
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
20015 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.9K
$500.24
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
10390 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.4K
$106.39
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
10000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.0K
$175.00
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
6557 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.5K
$88.52
- NO
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
12 shares @ 60.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.87
$2.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$619.18Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$38.46Jul 28, 05:53 UTC
- MERGEWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$26.1KJul 28, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$231.75Jul 28, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.27Jul 28, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.99Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.40Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$13.87Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.60Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.96Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.15Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.18Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.4KJul 28, 05:29 UTC
- MERGEWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.0KJul 28, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.35Jul 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.42Jul 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.42Jul 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7.86Jul 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$655.27Jul 28, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.51Jul 28, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$66.6K · 79% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $211.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.