Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $5.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1567.1h
- 16:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 8¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy perry announces that she is pregnant between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Katy Perry or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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