SportsExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-38.0pp

24h Vol

$10.0K

Liquidity

$312.2K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 14:00May 5, 2026, 10:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 38pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $10.0k traded against $312.2k of visible liquidity (0.03× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 162.6h

    LOW
  • 10:22Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

-38.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -54.0pp at 09:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 39 hourly moves
  • 09:00 · -54.0pp → 0¢
  • 08:00 · -53.5pp → 0¢
  • 06:00 · -36.0pp → 14¢
  • 20:00 · -23.5pp → 27¢
  • 19:00 · -23.5pp → 27¢
  • 17:00 · -23.5pp → 27¢
  • 15:00 · -23.5pp → 27¢
  • 12:00 · -24.0pp → 26¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kiwoom Heroes and Samsung Lions, scheduled for May 5 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.