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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-57.0pp

24h Vol

$3.5K

Liquidity

$28.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 57pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 14:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 14:33Price

    Probability down -60.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -52.8pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -48.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Resolve

    Market resolved 4h ago

    HIGH
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for 2026-04-25: If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to "Metallurg Magnitogorsk". If Ak Bars Kazan win, the market will resolve to "Ak Bars Kazan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://en.khl.ru/calendar/
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).