KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan
Probability
62¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$30.00
Liquidity
$2.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 62¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 41h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 41h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 41 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 41.2h
- 20:50SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 41h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+10.5pp over the last 24h, now 62¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming KHL game, scheduled for 2026-04-27: If Metallurg Magnitogorsk win, the market will resolve to "Metallurg Magnitogorsk". If Ak Bars Kazan win, the market will resolve to "Ak Bars Kazan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.