Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$313.66
Probability (last 7 days)
-36.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $314 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 142.4h
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.5pp at 2d ago (to 7¢).
Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -20.7pp → 1¢
- 19:00 · -20.6pp → 1¢
- 17:00 · -20.6pp → 1¢
- 15:00 · -19.6pp → 1¢
- 14:00 · -18.6pp → 1¢
- 12:00 · -17.6pp → 1¢
- 11:00 · -17.2pp → 1¢
- 09:00 · -17.3pp → 1¢
- 08:00 · -17.2pp → 1¢
- 06:00 · -25.1pp → 1¢
- 05:00 · -27.2pp → 1¢
- 03:00 · -9.7pp → 1¢
- 02:00 · -25.7pp → 1¢
- 00:00 · -13.6pp → 1¢
- 23:00 · -7.9pp → 1¢
- 21:00 · -19.1pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -13.3pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -7.3pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -22.1pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -15.4pp → 3¢
- 1d ago · -4.8pp → 2¢
- 1d ago · -18.8pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · -10.1pp → 3¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -7.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -17.8pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -19.1pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -19.9pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -14.2pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -29.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -6.1pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 44¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5
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Market Description
In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for May 1 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RCD Mallorca" if RCD Mallorca win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Girona FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.