Warm-Vane
0x7d58986f00b3c00e9b24d02f8e35381ca154cfcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$27.9K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$-724.78
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
4849 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.6K
$460.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
4196 shares @ 78.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.1K
$839.34
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11914 shares @ 20.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$1.0K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1999 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.0K
$117.00
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$945.00
- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
1947 shares @ 76.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$237.47
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
1703 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$132.46
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
1556 shares @ 64.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.2K
$175.36
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2822 shares @ 26.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$336.53
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2400 shares @ 27.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$356.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.474h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$192.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$54.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$3.767h ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$183.077h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$1.657h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$1.857h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$0.247h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$0.257h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$0.077h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$1.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$1.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$1.037h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$4.628h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$2.168h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$2.168h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$2.168h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$43.908h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$2.168h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$2.168h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9h ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
