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OtherExpires Jan 20, 2026

Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5)

Probability

77¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$26.84

Probability (last 7 days)

+23.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 45.3¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 12:24Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.7pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.4pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for January 20 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend secures 11 or more kills than Weibo Gaming in the match. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Weibo Gaming". If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 20, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Wide spread (45.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).