Regal-Typhoon
0x40f222e47e76f7fa9022233237bb03df12e5a57c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$307.68
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
96%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- WEIBO GAMING
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5)
648 shares @ 0.2¢·now 47.4¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$307.68
$306.38
- NO
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 17?
1985 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Exact Score: CD Cobresal 1 - 0 CF Universidad de Chile?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Bitcoin above 75,000 on April 17, 11AM ET?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Bitcoin above 74,600 on April 17, 11AM ET?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- OVER
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Cardiff City FC: O/U 2.5
1597 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Linang Xiao vs Xiuyuan Ye
1503 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 9?
1457 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 4?
1409 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 28?$0.15Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: FC Spartak Trnava O/U 2.5$0.04Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: FC Spartak Trnava O/U 2.5$0.10Jul 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: FC Spartak Trnava O/U 2.5$0.11Jul 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. FC Spartak Trnava: FC Spartak Trnava O/U 2.5$0.27Jul 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 28?$0.12Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 28?$0.05Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Prime Day" during earnings call?$0.20Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTiago Gouveia: Anytime Goalscorer$0.33Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTiago Gouveia: Anytime Goalscorer$0.14Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage$0.13Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTiago Gouveia: Anytime Goalscorer$0.29Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.13Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.21Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner$0.39Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner$0.28Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner$0.11Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Atreides vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner$0.13Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
69/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
69 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.