LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+24.4pp
24h
+32.5pp
24h Vol
$97.9K
Liquidity
$134.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 32pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +24.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 32.5pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 5h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.1h
- 22:52SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 32.5pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 22:52SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+32.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +25.0pp at 22:51 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 20 hourly moves
- 22:51 · +25.0pp → 100¢
- 20:00 · +6.0pp → 77¢
- 19:00 · +5.5pp → 77¢
- 00:00 · -7.0pp → 68¢
- 23:00 · -7.0pp → 68¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 73¢
- 2d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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