SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+24.4pp

24h

+32.5pp

24h Vol

$97.9K

Liquidity

$134.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Up 32pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +24.4pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 32.5pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 4

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.1h

    HIGH
  • 22:52Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 32.5pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 22:52Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+32.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +25.0pp at 22:51 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 20 hourly moves
  • 22:51 · +25.0pp → 100¢
  • 20:00 · +6.0pp → 77¢
  • 19:00 · +5.5pp → 77¢
  • 00:00 · -7.0pp → 68¢
  • 23:00 · -7.0pp → 68¢
  • 1d ago · -8.0pp → 68¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +18.5pp → 69¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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