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SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

Probability

54¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+3.5pp

24h Vol

$12.5K

Liquidity

$7.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 54¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover

    $12.5k traded against $7.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Thin liquidity

    Only $7.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  5. 5

    Expiry in 12h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 05:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 12.0h

    HIGH
  • 16:58Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:58Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 26 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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