SportsExpires May 4, 2026
Creator

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Probability

1h

-29.4pp

24h

-46.5pp

24h Vol

$2.3K

Liquidity

$71.6K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 10:00May 4, 2026, 07:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 46pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -29.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 46.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 11:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.9h

    HIGH
  • 07:07Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 46.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 07:07Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-46.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Dplus KIA Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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