Loading shell…
SportsExpires May 5, 2026

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 Winner

Probability

53¢

1h

+2.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$96.70

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 225h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 59.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 225.3h

    LOW
  • 14:44Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 225h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Estral Esports and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win Game 2 against INTZ e-Sports. This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win Game 2 against Estral Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (59.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.