Second-Domain
0x682dbb961b8b4c4c99d9d56557d5ad68847e4cd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
82%
136 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
988 shares @ 74.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$913.68
$173.48
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1072 shares @ 48.2¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$846.71
$329.61
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 51.8¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$629.99
$112.20
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
510 shares @ 65.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$308.55
$-24.35
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
1500 shares @ 14.6¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$281.91
$63.04
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1090 shares @ 33.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$245.25
$-123.15
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
900 shares @ 40.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.50
$-219.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
2138 shares @ 22.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$139.00
$-333.70
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
495 shares @ 23.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$131.13
$13.36
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 29.4¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$122.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.31Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.12Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.30Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.06Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.09Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.38Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$17.70Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$1.02Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.03Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.04Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.37Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.71Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.36Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$0.23Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$79.08Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$2.57Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$5.00Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$6.02Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$7.00Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 136 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.