LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-25.9pp
24h Vol
$399.6K
Liquidity
$264.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 26pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 1.5× turnover
$399.6k traded against $264.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.3h
- 18:42SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-25.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.4pp at 18:40 (to 0¢).
Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:40 · -29.4pp → 0¢
- 17:00 · -20.5pp → 8¢
- 16:00 · +10.0pp → 38¢
- 15:00 · +9.5pp → 38¢
- 13:00 · +7.5pp → 37¢
- 12:00 · +8.5pp → 37¢
- 10:00 · +8.5pp → 38¢
- 09:00 · +6.0pp → 37¢
- 07:00 · +6.5pp → 35¢
- 03:00 · -6.5pp → 28¢
- 02:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 00:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 23:00 · -6.0pp → 28¢
- 20:00 · -7.0pp → 26¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 26¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 26¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 26¢
- 1d ago · -22.0pp → 30¢
- 1d ago · -22.0pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -19.0pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusgol.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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