Cautious-Airmail
0xee21feec0792848522755c4486c72fc3f4278025
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$23.09
Total PnL
$-10.80
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.61
$0.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.86
$1.00
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$0.07
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.66
$0.03
- NATUS VINCERE
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$1.52
$0.53
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.01
$0.17
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 11.8¢·now 14.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.26
$0.05
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
205 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
22 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.15Apr 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.30Apr 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$3.10Apr 25, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.42Apr 25, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$1.00Apr 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$1.77Apr 25, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$1.00Apr 25, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$1.00Apr 25, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.82Apr 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.78Apr 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.70Apr 23, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$1.63Apr 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.81Apr 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01Apr 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.03Apr 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$1.00Apr 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.54Apr 15, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.