Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
100¢
1h
+9.9pp
24h
+79.0pp
24h Vol
$99.99
Liquidity
$205.7K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 79pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +9.9pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 79.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:50ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.7h
- 22:07SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 79.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 22:07SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+79.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +79.0pp at 22:07 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
- 22:07 · +79.0pp → 100¢
- 21:00 · +69.0pp → 90¢
- 2d ago · -30.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -30.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
2 wallets- 0xb841…3cfb100