SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

Probability

82¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$6.9K

Liquidity

$19.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $19.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 6h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.6h

    HIGH
  • 18:26Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 83¢.

Biggest hourly move: +31.0pp at 2d ago (to 81¢).

Show all 9 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:26 · +4.0pp → 83¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 83¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 86¢
  • 1d ago · +10.0pp → 86¢
  • 1d ago · +31.0pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +29.5pp → 82¢
  • 2d ago · +31.0pp → 81¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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