SportsExpires Apr 29, 2026

LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Probability

1h

-23.4pp

24h

-47.9pp

24h Vol

$744.7K

Liquidity

$573.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 09:00Apr 29, 2026, 11:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 48pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -23.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 47.9pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.4h

    HIGH
  • 11:35Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 47.9pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 11:35Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-47.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -38.5pp at 11:00 (to 0¢).

Show 7 hourly moves
  • 11:00 · -38.5pp → 0¢
  • 05:00 · +15.5pp → 46¢
  • 04:00 · +16.0pp → 46¢
  • 03:00 · +16.5pp → 46¢
  • 00:00 · -22.0pp → 46¢
  • 22:00 · -22.0pp → 46¢
  • 21:00 · -22.0pp → 47¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.