LoL: LUA Gaming vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+83.9pp
24h Vol
$3.0K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 84pp over 24h
Now 99¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $3.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:35ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.7h
- 20:55SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
Price movement
+83.9pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.
Biggest hourly move: +83.4pp at 20:00 (to 99¢).
Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +83.4pp → 99¢
- 18:00 · +83.0pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +35.0pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 16¢
- 2d ago · -34.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -34.5pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · -34.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -35.5pp → 17¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between LUA Gaming and Barça eSports in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LUA Gaming" if LUA Gaming win Game 1 against Barça eSports. This market will resolve to "Barça eSports" if Barça eSports win Game 1 against LUA Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.