LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
Probability
73¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$10.96
Liquidity
$30.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Expiry in 24h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 24 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 24.2h
- 23:47SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 73¢.
Biggest hourly move: +24.0pp at 2d ago (to 74¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 76¢
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 76¢
- 1d ago · +10.0pp → 78¢
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 78¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 78¢
- 2d ago · +24.0pp → 74¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-1.5pp
First Blood in Game 2?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢-2.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 63¢+13.0pp
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.