Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 15, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 15, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 202.9h
- 13:03SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 28¢.
Biggest hourly move: -22.0pp at 3d ago (to 28¢).
Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
- 18:00 · -10.0pp → 28¢
- 16:00 · -10.0pp → 28¢
- 14:00 · -10.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -22.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -22.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -22.0pp → 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between Shifters and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters wins 2 or more games than Galions in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Galions". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.