LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
Probability
63¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$1.8K
Liquidity
$55.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 11:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 8.2h
- 02:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:50PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 60¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).