SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-9.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$3.5K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00May 2, 2026, 18:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 9pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 21h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 21 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 15:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 20.7h

    HIGH
  • 18:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 21h.

    LOW

Price movement

-9.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

Biggest hourly move: -27.5pp at 11:00 (to 23¢).

Show 8 hourly moves
  • 18:00 · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 17:00 · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 15:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
  • 14:00 · -27.5pp → 23¢
  • 12:00 · -27.0pp → 23¢
  • 11:00 · -27.5pp → 23¢
  • 07:00 · -7.0pp → 43¢
  • 21:00 · -3.0pp → 47¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket