LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$167.62
Liquidity
$23.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 41¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $23.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 22h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.4h
- 14:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:35PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 41¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 41¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 41¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 40¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 42¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 40¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 46¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 47¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 37¢+1.0pp
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Other · Vol $26.7K
- 41¢+0.5pp
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $171.29
- 43¢+9.0pp
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 12¢+0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢+3.5pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 76¢-0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 12¢-0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 13¢0.0pp
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 55¢-5.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 56¢-2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 55¢-11.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.8K
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against Ultra Prime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).