Games Total: O/U 2.5
Probability
34¢
1h
+11.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$917.49
Liquidity
$20.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 25.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 23h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.6h
- 01:26SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-16.5pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 87¢0.0pp
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
Sports · Vol $11.9K
- 79¢0.0pp
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 79¢0.0pp
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 70¢0.0pp
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)
Sports · Vol $307.58
- 11¢0.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 77¢0.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 11¢0.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 13¢0.0pp
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 54¢-3.0pp
Pistons vs. Magic
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $3.0M
- 42¢0.0pp
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 19¢-1.0pp
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 52¢+3.0pp
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 21¢-24.0pp
Flyers vs. Penguins
Sports · Vol $1.3M
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Team Vitality and Solary in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Team Vitality and Solary play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (25.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.