Games Total: O/U 2.5
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$110.00
Liquidity
$31.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 26h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Expiry in 26h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 26 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 25.9h
- 15:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 26h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 38¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 38¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 38¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 38¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 37¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 39¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 40¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 41¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 40¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 39¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Weibo Gaming and Bilibili Gaming play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).