LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$6.3K
Liquidity
$29.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 23h.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.7h
- 16:16SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 23h.
Price movement
+3.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.
Biggest hourly move: -16.5pp at 3d ago (to 34¢).
Show top 8 of 26 hourly moves
- 12:00 · +8.0pp → 42¢
- 01:00 · +15.0pp → 39¢
- 22:00 · +8.5pp → 39¢
- 20:00 · +9.0pp → 40¢
- 3d ago · -16.5pp → 34¢
- 3d ago · -14.5pp → 34¢
- 3d ago · -14.0pp → 35¢
- 3d ago · -15.5pp → 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 43¢0.0
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 42¢-6.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $63.60
- 31¢-5.0
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 12¢0.0
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 77¢0.0
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 10¢-0.5
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 13¢0.0
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+39.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 61¢+2.0
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 2¢0.0
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $917.0K
- 0¢-66.0
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Sports · Vol $886.3K
- 0¢-61.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $833.7K
- 100¢+16.4
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils
Sports · Vol $820.5K
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Cluttered-Winery1.8K
- Zealous-Notice1.1K
- Feisty-Iron1000
- Speedy-Booster645
- Actual-Marshland346