SportsExpires May 2, 2026
Creator

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.4pp

24h

-49.5pp

24h Vol

$15.1K

Liquidity

$5.6K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 30, 2026, 01:00May 2, 2026, 13:09
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.7× turnover

    $15.1k traded against $5.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 04
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.8h

    HIGH
  • 13:10Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-49.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -48.9pp at 13:09 (to 1¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming match between Weibo Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 29 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

17 wallets
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