UnclassifiedExpires —

MegaETH FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Probability

94¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$95.69

Liquidity

$41.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+14.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 26, 2026, 09:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 94¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Price movement

+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 94¢.

Biggest hourly move: +20.0pp at 2d ago (to 90¢).

Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 94¢
  • 2d ago · +19.5pp → 89¢
  • 2d ago · +19.5pp → 89¢
  • 2d ago · +19.5pp → 90¢
  • 2d ago · +20.0pp → 90¢
  • 3d ago · +14.0pp → 90¢
  • 3d ago · +11.5pp → 91¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventMegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
—
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
using the total token supply multiplied by the token price
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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