OtherExpires Jul 1, 2026

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Probability

93¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$29.2K

Liquidity

$125.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+14.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:38

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1598h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1598.4h
LOW
13:38Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1598h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
13:38Price
Probability up 7.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 8.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 7.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 9.0pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 10.5pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 11.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 12.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 11.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability up 10.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 10.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 11.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 12.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 13.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 14.5pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 16.0pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 20.5pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 21.0pp
to 94¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 20.5pp
to 92¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 19.0pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 19.0pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 18.0pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 17.5pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventMegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jul 1, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket