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OtherExpires Dec 31, 2026

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

Probability

35¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$29.43

Liquidity

$1.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 35¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5986.6h

    LOW
  • 13:24Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel ceases to be the Head Coach of the New England Patriots for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Mike Vrabel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots and/or Mike Vrabel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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